Publications

The economy still has room to absorb the oil price slump, but a long-term period of low oil prices would hurt. Economic diversification is on the agenda.

A moderate economic rebound is expected in 2016 and 2017, given that the domestic security situation will not again hurt tourism and business sentiment.

As the oil price decrease has a negative impact on government revenues and lending conditions, many businesses face liquidity issues and payment delays.

The economy in Eastern Europe is forecast to continue growing 1.1% this year. However, trade credit risk from foreign late payment is on the rise.

Poor payment practices of B2B customers caused financial distress on businesses in Western Europe and a ripple effect throughout the whole supply chain.

Survey findings point to Great Britain as the country in Western Europe that is the most impacted by late payment from export customers.

Insolvencies are forecast to fall only 3% across advanced markets in 2016, the worst performance since 2012.

Business insolvencies expected to increase 6% in 2016 as the slump in the mining sector continues.

Economic growth forecast to slow down to 6.3% in 2016, but no hard landing expected for the time being.

Robust growth, but high levels of corporate debt. The pace of structural reforms remains too slow.

Slow pace of economic recovery, with GDP expected to grow 1% in 2016, and inflation remaining stubbornly low.

Lower growth in 2016 (up 4.4%), but robust economic fundamentals remain.

GDP expected to grow above 5% in 2016 due to robust private consumption, but the business environment remains difficult.

Economic performance impacted by slower growth in China and Southeast Asia.

High household indebtedness weighs on private consumption, and exports are affected by the slowdown in China.

Productivity increases and economic diversification are the main long-term challenges.

GDP growth in 2016 (up 2.5%) still below the country´s growth potential, and political uncertainty remains an issue.

Atradius picks the top 8 markets for business opportunities in 2016. These emerging markets have been showing strong performances over the past three years and are expected to improve further in 2016.

The first increase in US interest rates in almost 10 years may lead to trouble in emerging markets.

Food exports grew 2.1% in 2014 and are expected to increase further in 2015.