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Poland: higher insolvency levels ahead

Barometr Pratyk Płatniczych

  • Polska
  • Motoryzacja/Transport,
  • Chemia/Farmacja,

18 09 2019

Real GDP growth in Poland is forecast to reach 4.4% this year, slowing down to 3.6% in 2020.

Raporty windykacyjne

Zachęcamy do zapoznania się z publikacjami Atradius Collections. Wśród nich – International Debt Collections Handbook, raporty na temat rynku windykacji na świecie oraz trendów w branży.

Prognoza rynkowa

Dostęp do prognozy przygotowanej na podstawie oceny ryzyka kredytowego oraz wyników działalności 14 głównych gałęzi przemysłu w ponad 30 krajach. Zestawienie opiera się na ocenie analityków Atradiusa.

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    Country report Austria 2018

    Country report

    • Austria
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    15 05 2018

    In 2018, economic growth is expected to remain above 2%, sustained by domestic and international demand. The momentum is forecast to slow down in 2019.

    Country report Belgium 2018

    Country report

    • Belgia
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    15 05 2018

    In 2018 the number of Belgian business insolvencies will still be higher than the levels seen before the start of the global credit crisis in 2008.

    Country report Denmark 2018

    Country report

    • Dania
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    15 05 2018

    The Danish economy has regained some of its international competitiveness due to structural reforms that addressed the issue of high labour costs.

    Country report France 2018

    Country report

    • Francja
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    15 05 2018

    With about 55,000 business failures recorded in 2017 the number of insolvencies was still as high as during the start of the credit crisis in 2008.

    Country report Germany 2018

    Country report

    • Niemcy
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    15 05 2018

    Economic expansion remains broad-based, driven by private consumption and business investments, while export growth is sustained by the eurozone demand.

    Country report Ireland 2018

    Country report

    • Irlandia
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    15 05 2018

    The Irish economy is expected to grow by about 4% in 2018, but remains exposed to ongoing economic uncertainties stemming from the Brexit decision.

    Country report Italy 2018

    Country report

    • Włochy
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    15 05 2018

    Despite a forecast 10% year-on-year decrease in 2018 the number of business insolvencies will still be much higher than the levels registered in 2008.

    Country report Netherlands 2018

    Country report

    • Holandia
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    15 05 2018

    A potential downside risk would be another deterioration in house prices, given high levels of mortgage debt and banks’ exposure to the housing market.

    Country report Spain 2018

    Country report

    • Hiszpania
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    15 05 2018

    In 2018 and 2019 economic growth is expected to moderate somewhat but to remain robust, with private consumption and investment remaining the key drivers.

    Country report Sweden 2018

    Country report

    • Szwecja
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    15 05 2018

    A potential downside risk to the economic performance could be the high household debt in case of sharp house price decreases and interest rate increases.

    Country report Switzerland 2018

    Country report

    • Szwajcaria
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    15 05 2018

    With the rebound of economic growth, business failures are expected to decrease year-on-year in 2018, but nevertheless to remain on an elevated level.

    Country report United Kingdom 2018

    Country report

    • Wielka Brytania
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    15 05 2018

    British business insolvencies are expected to rise again in 2018, mainly affecting businesses active in the construction, retail and hospitality sectors.

    Global Economic Outlook - May 2018

    Badania ekonomiczne / Dane ekonomiczne

    • Algieria,
    • Angola,
    • Inne

    08 05 2018

    The global economic upswing continues to strengthen but US policy uncertainty and a potential trade war could quickly darken the bright skies.

    Country Report Argentina 2018

    Country report

    • Argentyna
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    17 04 2018

    While the return to more market friendly policies has improved Argentina´s medium- and long-term growth prospects, significant downside risks remain.

    Country Report Brazil 2018

    Country report

    • Brazylia
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    17 04 2018

    Despite a rebound, the economic environment remains challenging due to a fragile political landscape, high unemployment, and fiscal policy issues.

    Country Report Chile 2018

    Country report

    • Chile
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    17 04 2018

    Since H2 of 2017 economic growth has recovered from low copper prices and lower demand from China, strikes in the mining sector and weaker domestic demand.

    Country Report Colombia 2018

    Country report

    • Kolumbia
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    17 04 2018

    Since H2 of 2017 GDP growth has started to accelerate again, due to a more supportive external environment and the effects of monetary policy stimulus.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables Italy 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Włochy
    • Dobra konsumenckie

    04 04 2018

    In a highly competitive and fragmented market retailers’ profit margins are expected to remain under pressure in 2018 after deteriorating in 2017.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables Spain 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Hiszpania
    • Dobra konsumenckie

    04 04 2018

    Consumer durables are expected to continue their sales expansion in 2018, although at a lower pace than in 2017 as private consumption growth slows.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables Australia 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Australia
    • Dobra konsumenckie

    04 04 2018

    In 2018 sales are expected to be affected by slower household spending growth, triggered by a weaker housing market and subdued growth in household income.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables India 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Indie
    • Dobra konsumenckie

    04 04 2018

    The profit margins of Indian non-food retailers are expected to moderate in 2018 due to growing competition and the rising market share of e-commerce.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables Poland 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Polska
    • Dobra konsumenckie

    04 04 2018

    Despite good sales prospects, there remains substantial uncertainty related to VAT tax issues amongst retailers as tax controls have been intensified.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables Indonesia 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Indonezja
    • Dobra konsumenckie

    04 04 2018

    Indonesia's retail sector is one of the most promising in Asia, on the back of its large population and growing middle class with higher purchasing power.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables Vietnam 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Wietnam
    • Dobra konsumenckie

    04 04 2018

    The short-term outlook is benign with private consumption expected to increase by more than 6% in 2018, but higher inflation could have a dampening effect.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables Germany 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Niemcy
    • Dobra konsumenckie

    04 04 2018

    The best way for smaller retailers to survive is to join a large purchasing association and to compete with e-commerce by providing outstanding service.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables USA April 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Stany Zjednoczone Ameryki
    • Dobra konsumenckie

    04 04 2018

    Many long-standing retail chains are highly indebted, often from leveraged buyouts led by private equity firms, while investors reconsider further lending.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables United Kingdom 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Wielka Brytania
    • Dobra konsumenckie

    04 04 2018

    As a result of more difficult trading conditions retailers profit margins have deteriorated in H2 of 2017, and further decline is expected in 2018.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables Netherlands 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Holandia
    • Dobra konsumenckie

    04 04 2018

    The number of brick-and-mortar stores has significantly decreased - despite the fact that high street also benefits from the current sales increase.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables France 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Francja
    • Dobra konsumenckie

    04 04 2018

    The business environment is highly competitive among the different distribution networks, reinforced by the increasing market share of online retailers.

    EU to speed up completion of free trade agreements

    Badania ekonomiczne / Dane ekonomiczne

    • Argentyna,
    • Belgia,
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    28 03 2018

    The growing insecurity over US trade policy pushes the European Union and trading partners to speed up the completion of free trade agreement negotiations

    Trump tariffs threaten trade

    Badania ekonomiczne / Dane ekonomiczne

    • Australia,
    • Kanada,
    • Inne

    22 03 2018

    By raising tariffs on steel and aluminium the US president has proudly delivered on a campaign promise. US steel and aluminium producers gain, but it comes at the expense of US metal consuming firms.

    APAC Country Report China 2018

    Country report

    • Chiny
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    13 03 2018

    Business insolvencies in China are expected to increase further this year in 2018, as companies face tighter credit conditions and the economic rebalancing process is on-going.

    APAC Country Report India 2018

    Country report

    • Indie
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    13 03 2018

    The economic growth outlook for 2018 remains robust, but a rather weak banking sector and high foreign indebtedness of domestic firms remain concerns.

    APAC Country Report Indonesia 2018

    Country report

    • Indonezja
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    13 03 2018

    The economic outlook remains positive with expected GDP growth rates of more than 5% in 2017 and 2018, and vulnerability to external shocks has declined.

    APAC Country Report Japan 2018

    Country report

    • Japonia
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    13 03 2018

    Growth has picked up again in 2017, and the positive trend is expected to continue in 2018, with both domestic demand and exports set to grow further.

    APAC Country Report Malaysia 2018

    Country report

    • Malezja
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    13 03 2018

    The economy shows high growth rates of more than 5% p.a., but high household debt could become an issue should interest rates increase substantially.

    APAC Country Report The Philippines 2018

    Country report

    • Filipiny
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    13 03 2018

    GDP growth is expected to remain at above 6% in 2018, but controversial economic policies could hamper business sentiment and foreign investment.

    APAC Country Report Singapore 2018

    Country report

    • Singapur
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    13 03 2018

    In 2018 the economic performance will be impacted by weaker demand from China and lower domestic demand due to weaker residential construction activity.

    APAC Country Report South Korea 2018

    Country report

    • Korea Południowa
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    13 03 2018

    The high level of household debt remains a downside risk for the economy, together with a tougher competition from China in a range of industries.

    APAC Country Report Taiwan 2018

    Country report

    • Tajwan
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    13 03 2018

    Growing competition from mainland China in the electronics sector require productivity increases and a diversification of the economy in the long-term.

    APAC Country Report Thailand 2018

    Country report

    • Tajlandia
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    13 03 2018

    The Thai economy is forecast to grow by 3.8% in 2018, supported by public investments in infrastructure, rising household consumption and exports.

    APAC Country Report Vietnam 2018

    Country report

    • Wietnam
    • Rolnictwo,
    • Motoryzacja/Transport,

    13 03 2018

    High GDP growth of more than 6% in expected in 2018 driven by domestic demand and exports, but the economic fundamentals still show some weaknesses.

    Insolvency forecasts March 2018

    Badania ekonomiczne / Dane ekonomiczne

    • Australia,
    • Austria,
    • Inne

    06 03 2018

    The global economy is in a sweet spot of broad-based economic growth and low interest rates, but we expect this to be bottoming out in 2018.

    Oil & gas exporters: debt continues to rise

    Badania ekonomiczne / Dane ekonomiczne

    • Kuwejt,
    • Arabia Saudyjska,
    • Inne

    27 02 2018

    Despite higher prices, debt levels continue to rise in many energy exporters. Now is no time for complacency.

    Market Monitor Construction Belgium 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Belgia
    • Budownictwo

    13 02 2018

    Improvements in business performance and credit risk seen in 2017 and the stable outlook for 2018 have led to a performance rating upgrade to “Fair”.

    Market Monitor Construction France 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Francja
    • Budownictwo

    13 02 2018

    The sector still suffers from fierce competition with prices and profitability at a low level, while major players keep putting pressure on subcontractors.

    Market Monitor Construction Italy 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Włochy
    • Budownictwo

    13 02 2018

    Tight lending conditions set by banks still hamper sector performance, exacerbating the fact that many construction businesses remain highly geared.

    Market Monitor Construction UK 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Wielka Brytania
    • Budownictwo

    13 02 2018

    Brexit will undoubtedly impact on the construction market in the coming years, as the industry is very susceptible to shifts in investor confidence.

    Market Monitor Construction Romania 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Rumunia
    • Budownictwo

    13 02 2018

    Banks remain rather cautious in providing loans to the industry due to the large number of insolvencies and generally volatile market demand situation.

    Market Monitor Construction Spain 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Hiszpania
    • Budownictwo

    13 02 2018

    The profit and loss accounts of businesses active in energy-intensive segments (e.g. cement) are negatively affected by elevated electricity and gas costs.

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