Indonesia's retail sector is one of the most promising in Asia, on the back of its large population and growing middle class with higher purchasing power.
The short-term outlook is benign with private consumption expected to increase by more than 6% in 2018, but higher inflation could have a dampening effect.
The best way for smaller retailers to survive is to join a large purchasing association and to compete with e-commerce by providing outstanding service.
The business environment is highly competitive among the different distribution networks, reinforced by the increasing market share of online retailers.
Many long-standing retail chains are highly indebted, often from leveraged buyouts led by private equity firms, while investors reconsider further lending.
By raising tariffs on steel and aluminium the US president has proudly delivered on a campaign promise. US steel and aluminium producers gain, but it comes at the expense of US metal consuming firms.
Business insolvencies in China are expected to increase further this year in 2018, as companies face tighter credit conditions and the economic rebalancing process is on-going.
The economic outlook remains positive with expected GDP growth rates of more than 5% in 2017 and 2018, and vulnerability to external shocks has declined.
In 2018 the economic performance will be impacted by weaker demand from China and lower domestic demand due to weaker residential construction activity.
Growing competition from mainland China in the electronics sector require productivity increases and a diversification of the economy in the long-term.
